1. Trade name: silicon metal (441 × 3)
2. Latest price (November 18, 2019): 11725 yuan / ton
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The price of 441 × silicon in each region is as follows:
The price range of metal silicon in Fujian is 11300-11400 yuan / ton, in Sichuan is 11500-11600 yuan / ton, in Kunming is 11400-11600 yuan / ton, in Shanghai is 12400-12600 yuan / ton, in Tianjin port is 11600-11800 yuan / ton, in Huangpu port is 11700-11800 yuan / ton. 。
3. Key points of analysis: Sichuan Yunnan silicon plant’s production reduction overlaps the low silicon price in the early stage, and the cost factor becomes the leading factor. Domestic manufacturers have strong willingness to hold up the price, and the silicon price has increased significantly since August.
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At the supply end, with the return of silicon price, some silicon plants in Xinjiang started construction actively. It is reported that in October, the operating rate of silicon metal industry was 46.9%, increasing by 1.7 percentage points on a month on month basis, decreasing by 9.9 percentage points on a year-on-year basis.
On the demand side, the domestic rigid procurement is the main part, the early procurement is more, and the export is relatively flat.
4. Future forecast: the overall supply will move down, and the focus will be on the change of downstream demand. It is expected that the short-term operation of metallic silicon will be mainly strong.
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