Middle East the diplomatic relations event did not cause oil prices skyrocketed, analysts said crude oil trend difficult to change

Yesterday, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, Egypt and other countries have announced severance with Qatar, triggering investors on the crude oil market and OPEC production agreement concerns.

After breaking the news announcement, due to concerns about the international oil market volatility, oil prices appear short-term rise. But the market calm, oil prices fell. Crude oil prices also stimulated the petrochemical products up, the domestic asphalt, PTA (4772, 10.00, 0.21%) futures afternoon opening were slightly higher. However, both the crude oil, or PTA and other downstream chemicals, volatility is still within the normal range, Qatar off the event on the disk of the direct impact is relatively limited.Sodium Molybdate

Oil prices did not skyrocket

“The severance incident itself is a geopolitical factor, and the above countries are the Middle East oil-producing countries, which may lead to market concerns about changes in OPEC commitment to change.” An Xunsi crude oil researcher Li Li pointed out that the current crude oil prices in the shock interval The operation of the event, the impact of the event still need to observe whether there is an expansion of the trend, the short-term market is still based on news fried.

Russian Permanent Representative to Vienna International Organization Voron Kofu said that the situation caused by many countries with the Qatar interchange should not affect OPEC and non-OPEC national oil reduction agreement. “As for the agreement, this document is not political but economic tendencies, so I do not think it will have a certain impact on the implementation of the agreement.This is a multilateral agreement, and not all countries are separated from Qatar, I think, will not What ‘s the big change.

Zhuo record information analyst Zhu Guangming that Qatar’s crude oil production and production share is very small, and the key contradiction is not around the start of crude oil, the market is not worried about long, the oil market will not be a big fluctuation, at this stage The trend of crude oil will not change.

Zhu Guangming that Qatar’s share of production is small. Qatar’s production share of 30,000 barrels / day, compared to OPEC countries cut 1.2 million barrels / day, can be said to contribute little. Even if Qatar unilaterally torn down the production agreement, the impact on the oil market will not be reflected in the output, but more to other countries to comply with the contract to reduce the degree and confidence greatly reduced the uncertainty of the market. And this result is now unlikely to appear, because OPEC cut the country has the same goal – to reduce production down stocks, boost oil prices.Bacillus thuringiensis

US oil wells are the key

Some analysts have pointed out that in the history of the Middle East, breaking the incident is not uncommon, can not lift the big waves, because the Saudi government often engage in diplomatic “big move” out. Last year, in the process of achieving a cut-off agreement, Saudi Arabia and Iran broke down because of conflicts of interest. Crude oil production in these two countries ranks first and third in OPEC countries. While the oil prices at the time although there was a certain fluctuation, but did not have a long-term impact on oil prices. The two countries then shook hands and jointly promoted the achievement of the cut-off agreement.Chitosan oligosaccharide

The industry said the current decision to oil prices more important factors in the United States, rather than the Middle East. Trump Announces US Exit from the Paris Agreement The market is concerned that US crude oil production may grow faster than it is now. At present, the US energy companies for the 20th consecutive week to increase the number of active rigs, shale oil wells rapid growth so that oil prices rose space is locked. Oil service company Baker Hughes on Friday released the report shows that as of June 2 the week, the US active oil rig increased by 11 to 733, the most in April 2015. This is more than twice the same period last year, when the number of active rigs was only 325.

It is noteworthy that, with the number of oil drilling rigs up, US oil production rose nearly 10% over the same period last year. As of May 26 the week, the US EIA oil production increased by 2.2 million barrels / day to 934.2 million barrels of 21-month high, repeatedly refresh the output since August 2015 record, with the peak 960 million barrels / day gap Less than 3%. Consultants Rystad Energy cited oil production changes lagging behind the history of the number of rigs, saying that the end of this year’s US oil production will be on the 10 million barrels / day mark, approaching Saudi Arabia and Russia’s daily output.http://www.lubonchem.com

January to April, 2017 China’s paint industry import and export double increase

General Administration of Customs data show that in 2017 from January to April, China’s paint industry, the total import and export of 482 million US dollars, an increase of 4.31%.Gamma-PGA (gamma polyglutamic acid)

Among them, the total imports of 52,900 tons, an increase of 5.33%, total imports of 285 million US dollars, an increase of 3.96%; total exports of 59,900 tons, an increase of 14.06%, the total export value of 197 million US dollars, An increase of 4.81%.http://www.lubonchem.com/

OPEC new production-cut agreement fell, Libya, Iran have increased production, crude oil prices fell

While the OPEC countries are struggling to cope with the impact of shale oil production in the United States, production cuts are suddenly spoiled. Sodium selenite

On Wednesday, Libyan National Oil Company (NOC) said that with the largest oil field to solve technical problems, Libya crude oil production rose to 79.4 million barrels / day, an increase of about Liu Cheng, this week is expected to refresh the past three years, the highest single-day average daily oil record of 800,000 barrel.

Affected by the global crude oil prices diving again, as of June 1 at 17:00, the United States WTI crude oil futures contract price hovering around 48.88 US dollars / barrel, intraday hit a 25 May OPEC reached a new agreement since the lowest price $ 47.74 / barrel.

“If the dollar index fell below 97, so that oil prices get a breather, Libya production may make oil prices fell directly to 45 US dollars / barrel integer mark.” Crude oil research institutions Clearview Energy Partners Managing Director Jacques Rousseau told reporters in the 21st century economic report The

In his view, this is precisely the OPEC new production agreement a huge loophole – May 25 OPEC reached a new production agreement did not Libya, Iran, Nigeria into the cut category, leading to these countries have increased production, competition for OPEC cut Under the market blank, and further increase the market for excessive supply of crude oil concerns. Stannous sulphate

More importantly, the Libyan and other oil-producing countries to increase production behavior so that the global crude oil market game pattern has become more complex, the original market that OPEC countries did not increase the rate of production cuts, the main reason is to use low oil prices to squeeze the US shale oil Out of the market, regain crude oil market pricing. Now their spoiler, it is likely to appear snipe clam clash, fisherman profit situation, that is, OPEC and shale oil fight each other forced to leave each other, Libya and other countries took the opportunity to squeeze more market share, so that crude oil supply pattern Further aggravated by the OPEC set the global crude oil commercial inventories compressed to the average of the past five years below the target will become far away.

Recently, JP Morgan Chase also lowered the 2018 US oil price is expected to 11 US dollars to 42 US dollars / barrel.

“At the moment, only a weak dollar may be able to save the decline in crude oil, but the shadow of excess supply still makes financial institutions can not easily chase oil prices.” Jacques Rousseau analysis, June 1 WTI oil prices can bottom out slightly 1 %, An important driving force is the dollar index fell below the 97 mark, attracting many large global asset management institutions to buy crude oil hedge against the dollar fell risk. “However, it is still unknown how long the weak dollar can support oil prices in the face of a dollar’s rate hike in June,” he said.

Spoiler of the “lethality”

On May 25, OPEC and the non-OPEC oil-producing countries, led by Russia, agreed to extend the cut-off agreement for nine months and maintain a reduction of about 1.8 million barrels per day.

However, this did not restore the recent weakness in oil prices. WTI crude oil futures fell below $ 50 mark the day, to close at 48.90 US dollars / barrel, the lowest value of the week. Bacillus thuringiensis

In the eyes of the industry, the reason why oil prices ignore the profit and bear effect, mainly because OPEC did not Iran, Libya and Nigeria and other countries into the scope of production, the market worried that these countries may increase crude oil production, weakening OPEC new agreement effect.

Soon, this fear becomes a reality.

According to reports, in addition to the Libyan National Oil Company (NOC) announced on Wednesday production, the Iranian National Petroleum Corporation (NIOC) board of directors also approved a new production target – by March 2018, crude oil, natural gas and condensate production increased 8%, 17% and 29%, and strive to achieve a long-term average of 4.7 million barrels / day in mid-year.

In the case of Amrita Sen, chief oil analyst at hedge fund Energy Aspects, Libya and other countries have not made any increase in production, which is not surprising – when OPEC countries cut production, these countries will never let go to increase production to expand market share. Good opportunity. Chitosan oligosaccharide

According to OPEC previously reached a cut agreement, OPEC largest oil producer Saudi Arabia committed a daily reduction of 48.6 million barrels, the highest daily output down to 1005.8 million barrels; OPEC second largest oil producer Iraq committed to cut 21 million barrels per day, To 435.1 million barrels per day; OPEC’s third-largest oil producer, Iran, was allowed to raise its production to 379.7 million barrels per day.

In practice, Iran, Iraq and other countries just to seize this clause continue to expand production. Some agencies estimate that Iran’s output in February this year has exceeded the quota agreed by the cut-off agreement, Iraq in March did not comply with the basic agreement.

This makes a lot of OPEC countries to implement the cut agreement dissatisfied, in order to defend their own market share, they turn to take more measures to increase the efficiency of OPEC production agreement greatly reduced. US energy industry consulting firm JBC Energy data show that in May OPEC production reductions in production, production has rebounded, specifically, 14 OPEC countries, the average daily production from 32.5 million barrels to 37 million barrels, the implementation rate of production agreement by the 96% in April fell to 92% in May.

JBC energy analyst Benigni told reporters in the 21st century economic report that the results of these countries “infighting” will be the transfer of global crude oil pricing from OPEC to the United States.

He bluntly, the current reason why the financial market bearish crude oil prices, an important reason is the US shale oil production, is changing the global crude oil market supply and demand map. According to Baker Hughes, the world’s third largest oilfield service provider, the number of US oil drilling rigs last week increased by two to 722 units, and the number once again set a new high since April 17, 2015. Sodium Molybdate

“This is also the positive effect of OPEC’s new production agreement has been repeatedly ignored by the market, while Libya, the United States and other production behavior has a sign of trouble, the market quickly short selling crude oil arbitrage root causes.” Benigni pointed out.

OPEC sniper US shale oil abacus “fall”

In the industry view, Libya, Iran’s increase in production, to some extent undermined the OPEC sniper American shale oil abacus.

Earlier, the market rumors that OPEC did not expand the implementation of the agreement, an important reason is OPEC attempts to use low oil prices strategy to force the US shale oil shrinking due to profits out of the market, to regain the global crude oil market share and pricing discourse.

Specifically, when US President Trump visited Saudi Arabia, rumors that Saudi Arabia and Wall Street hedge funds conspiracy to restore crude oil prices in the spot premium (that is, the recent contract price is higher than the forward contract price), on the one hand to protect the OPEC countries get relatively high Of the oil export earnings to stabilize the financial situation, to avoid some of the countries within the OPEC secretly reduce the effect of weakening production agreement; the other hand, by suppressing long-term crude oil contract prices to shrinking US shale oil profits, the United States shale oil companies related financing constraints , Step by step to compress American shale oil production.Gamma-PGA (gamma polyglutamic acid)

However, to achieve this goal, OPEC must be divided into four steps: First, continue to cut production, as much as possible so that OECD crude oil stocks return to the normal level below the five-year average, driven by the recent contract price rise; Second, OPEC continue to release the sound of future production, To reduce the long-term oil prices; third with hedge funds sniper crude oil short power, completely reverse the market bearish oil prices; Fourth, to ensure that the situation in the case of rising water, the gradual recovery of production to seize market share.

However, OPEC’s abacus is with Libya and other countries of the spoiler was destroyed. The only change, perhaps the right to speak of crude oil, transferred from the United States to Libya, Iran and other countries.

Many financial institutions even believe that Saudi Arabia and other OPEC countries take a step “dangerous game” – crude oil spot premium will drive more oil-producing countries to expand the current production capacity, leading to the global oil supply surplus situation further increased. Moreover, many oil-producing countries have long seen through OPEC’s abacus, quietly increase oil production capacity to gain greater market share and immediate benefits. Such as Iraq this year, crude oil production increased from 435 million barrels to 500 million barrels / day, Libya also plans to add 50 million barrels / day, the output will return to 120 million barrels / day high years.http://www.lubonchem.com/

The continuous development of printing and dyeing industry effectively pull the demand for dye products

As a direct downstream industry of the dye industry, China’s printing and dyeing industry in the “Eleventh Five-Year” period has developed by leaps and bounds. Printing and dyeing cloth production average annual growth of 10.69%, industrial average annual output growth of 15.05%, average annual sales growth of 15.10%, sales rate to maintain a high level. Sodium Molybdate

After 2011, by the labor, raw materials and energy costs, energy saving and environmental protection pressures increasing and the industry as a whole into the transformation and upgrading period and other factors, printing and dyeing cloth production from 59.330 billion meters in 2011 to 509.53 in 2015 Billion, but the printing and dyeing industry, fixed asset investment has been gradually restored, the total investment in the industry, the number of new projects to maintain a high growth rate, printing and dyeing enterprises operating income and profits improved significantly. Therefore, the continuous development of China’s printing and dyeing industry will effectively protect the demand for dye products.

After years of continuous competition and integration of market competition, China’s dye production concentration continues to increase, the industry has the scale, technology, capital and first-mover advantages of enterprises, such as Zhejiang Longsheng, Runtu shares, Jihua Group, etc. have The development of adult sales of billions of dollars of enterprise groups, Zhejiang Longsheng, Runtu shares, Jihua Group, the total output of dyes, more than the next year, has been ranked the top three national dye production, has become a world-class dye companies
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The Ukrainian government approves the zero tariff bill on fertilizer imports

Ukrainian Interfax news agency May 18 news, the Ukrainian government on the day of the adoption of fertilizer import zero tariff bill.

“The implementation of zero tariffs on nitrogen fertilizer imports will address the issue of protecting farmers from seasonal fluctuations in prices and significantly reducing the cost of domestic farmers (production).” This decision was aimed at revising anti-dumping on Russian fertilizer, the Minister of Agriculture Policy and Food, Tax case is particularly important.
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Crude oil and then cut production is expected to push up oil prices, domestic refined oil prices will rise

OPEC (OPEC) and non-OPEC oil producers will meet in Vienna on 25th, and it is widely expected that these “oil centers” will extend the implementation of the existing production agreement until the end of March next year. By this boost, the recent sharp rise in international oil prices.

However, some clues show that oil-producing countries cut production is still difficult to supply excess ills.

Overweight is expected to boost oil prices

Domestic refined oil prices rose Stannous sulphate

Originally due to high inventory and worry about crude oil bulls in the last week ushered in a glimmer of hope. Turning from Saudi Arabia and Russia’s position, both sides agreed that the cut-off agreement should be extended for nine months to March 2018. Iraq, Venezuela and Qatar and other countries followed by support.

The cut-off agreement began at the OPEC meeting held on November 30 last year, and the parties decided to cut their daily crude oil output by 1.2 million barrels, which was the first time that the organization had decided to cut production in 2008. 11 non-OPEC oil-producing countries agreed to cut the daily production of 55.8 million barrels of oil.

Cut the agreement is expected to be extended to boost the recent trend of international oil prices. Last week, New York and London crude oil futures prices rose more than 5% in recent months, while Beijing time at 17:28 on the 22nd, NYMEX crude oil futures prices rose 0.72% to $ 50.69 a barrel, Brent oil prices in the Flat plate near the fluctuations.Bacillus thuringiensis

In this context, a number of institutions are expected to limit the domestic refined oil this week will be up again.

Zhuo record information analyst Meng Peng told the Shanghai Securities News, this cycle, OPEC extended production agreement and the possibility of a substantial decline in US crude oil stocks and other factors to boost the overall rise in international prices as a whole, which will lead to 24 May 24 , Domestic refined oil retail price ushered in the increase.

According to Zhuo record data monitoring model shows that as of May 19 closing, the domestic 7th working day crude oil rate of change closed at 2.75%, the corresponding increase in refined oil price limit of 95 yuan / ton. Due to distance adjustment window is still open 3 working days, and the recent sharp decline in crude oil prices are unlikely, so at 25:00 on May 25, the domestic refined oil retail price will usher in the increase, and eventually raised Amplitude or reach 120 yuan / ton or so.

Longzhong Petrochemical Network pointed out that as of May 19 of the comprehensive rate of change in crude oil was 3.19%, is expected to domestic retail price of refined oil corresponding increase of 100 yuan / ton. Sodium selenite

The pace of global inventory to slow down

Crude oil bulls “enemies” more

Despite the profit brought about by the excitement of the market. However, some clues show that crude bulls still need to face many “enemies”. Bear the brunt of the American manufacturers.

OPEC released this month in the oil market monthly report pointed out that the continued growth of US oil production on the crude oil market supply and demand balance pressure, while affecting international oil prices to pick up. Energy service company Baker Hughes data show that as of May 19 of the week, the US drillers to increase the eight active rig, has been the first 18 weeks to increase, the duration of the second longest ever. The total number of active rigs is the largest since April 2015.

In addition to the United States, the Wall Street Journal noted that the rise in Canadian and Brazilian oil production and the small increase in Norwegian production have not yet attracted the attention of some oil traders. According to the media for a survey of five oil research institutions and investment banks, excluding the United States and OPEC led the 24-nation alliance, the top five oil-producing countries may increase the daily output of about 30 million barrels.Chitosan oligosaccharide

Reuters found that since OPEC began to cut production in January this year, from Houston to Singapore and other regions of the oil traders began to empty a large number of oil in the tank. However, many of these storage tanks are now recovering from stocks, or stocks falling faster than investors and oil companies expected. From Asia’s Malacca Strait, to the ports of the Nordic and Gulf of Mexico, global oil-to-stocking has slowed down or even reversed.

In the short term, the overall upward trend in international crude oil does not change, but the range is limited, the domestic refined oil market to weak operating mainly downstream demand boost, the Dragon Boat Festival before the domestic finished product Steady market push up, in some areas were mixed, to refining the basic bottom of diesel, it is recommended that domestic traders to recover more carefully.
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Early May market offer lower, followed by the price into the shock pattern, has been half a month, although the futures market volatility is more intense, but the latex market price is not up or down does not fall down, business traders generally enthusiastic downturn. Sodium Molybdate

The specific reasons are as follows:

Why is it difficult to rise?

First, the downstream products business needs in general, the Spring Festival has not appeared in the centralized procurement of the market. The market before the rally caused the traders and downstream products business stocking up, but after the holiday market deviation from the expected large volume of the market, prices continue to fall, the products business “buy up do not buy” mentality of continuous fermentation, procurement Caution, the inventory cycle is maintained in a relatively short period of time. In addition, environmental monitoring normalization. Gaomi, Foshan, Tianjin, Wenzhou and other places have been significantly affected. Especially in the northern region, the central special approved Xiong’an District, Dazu village balloon production base production situation is limited, and “area along the way” summit to further limit the needs of Beijing and Tianjin around.Bacillus thuringiensis

Second, the domestic production area of ​​Hainan has been cut, the domestic rubber gradually began to enter the market, because the price is lower than the import of plastic, there is a certain price advantage, the industry and more worry about the increase in domestic latex production will constitute a certain impact on the latex market The

Why can not fall Chitosan oligosaccharide

Beginning in April, the import price of imported latex imports increased significantly, the import price of more than 1550-1700 US dollars / ton. While the high price is bound to limit the replenishment of emotions, and thus more than a month to the market supply to Hong Kong is also relatively tight. With the early low-cost supply of digestion, high-cost supply to enter the market, businesses do not want to lower. Coupled with the gradual tightening of the stock, the market conditions to form a certain support.

Based on the above reasons, the current imports of latex market into stalemate, the market to pay more than just to purchase the main. However, Jin Lianchuang is expected, the current pattern of shock will not last long. With the domestic rubber into the market, the downstream products business or will start a wave of buying market, or give the market a certain operating opportunities.
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Coal production recovery, short-term coal prices are still expected to fall

According to data released by the Bureau of Statistics, in April, raw coal production of 290 million tons, an increase of 9.9%; daily production of 9.82 million tons, an increase of 150,000 tons in March. January-April, raw coal production of 1.11 billion tons, an increase of 2.5%. Raw coal production grew faster, mainly due to lower coal production in the same period last year, compared with March daily average of only 1.5%. Sodium Molybdate

April, by the end of the heating season, reduced demand, the impact of increased supply, Qinhuangdao port coal prices have come down. The end of April, 5500 kcal coal open price of 649 yuan per ton, down 10 yuan lower than in early April; 5000 kcal 571 yuan per ton, down 37 yuan; 4500 kcal 506 yuan per ton, down 37 yuan. Bacillus thuringiensis

From the current situation, according to CCTD China Coal market network monitoring data show that Qinhuangdao port coal stocks on May 18 to 5.855 million tons, up 17.1% over the previous month, the number of stocks increased significantly. Coastal six power plant inventories have been restored to more than 12.293 million tons, the number of days available has risen to about 20 days.
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Power plants, port stocks remain high, hydropower can be expected to increase, slow down the pace of downstream procurement is expected to short-term decline in coal prices, with the summer peak of the arrival of electricity, the latter part of the price may stabilize stabilized.
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The EU will submit a request for a decade of glyphosate

The European Chemicals Agency (ECHA) study released in March did not include glyphosate in carcinogens, saying the substance can cause severe eye damage and is toxic to aquatic organisms and has a long-term impact on it. But the existing scientific data can not support the glyphosate into a class of carcinogens, or teratogenic or reproductive toxicity. Subsequently, the European Commission and the EU member states on the continued use of glyphosate ten years to negotiate this issue. Up to now, the date of consultation between the EU and representatives of Member States has not yet been finalized. paraquat

Although the World Health Organization’s cancer organization, the International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC), has classified glyphosate as a “carcinogenic” substance, but many other government regulators, including the United States, believe that glyphosate, a herbicide, is unlikely to increase Human risk of cancer.

The EU says glyphosate is the core component of the Roundup herbicide and should not be classified as a carcinogen. A spokesman for the European Commission said, “We will take into account the latest scientific research results, and will work with member countries to seek a support from the community to provide solutions.”

The European Food Safety Authority (EFSA) says glyphosate “is unlikely to cause carcinogenic harm to humans” and supports ECHA’s findings.

“It is pointless to think that glyphosate is at risk,” said Bart Staes, a member of the European Parliament’s Green Group.

The European crop protection organization said that glyphosate continued to decline ten years is too short, should apply for a longer period of time, this is a “short-sighted” behavior. Fipronil

According to IARC data, glyphosate was registered in more than 130 countries in 2010 and is one of the world’s largest herbicides. Analysts expect that if glyphosate is banned in Europe, Monsanto will lose $ 100 million in sales.

OPEC production-cut agreement is expected to extend to March 2018, oil prices rose about 2% on Monday

US WTI crude oil futures on Monday (May 15) closed up 1.01 US dollars, or 2.11 percent, reported 48.85 US dollars / barrel. Brent crude futures closed up $ 0.98 on Monday, or 1.93%, at $ 51.82 a barrel. Saudi Arabia and Russia, the two major oil-producing countries to support the extension of the agreement to extend the agreement in March 2018, crude oil bulls greatly encouraged, while the dollar weakened for oil prices to provide a strong support. US WTI crude oil futures hit a maximum of 49.66 US dollars / barrel, Brent crude oil futures hit a maximum of 52.60 US dollars / barrel. Benzalkonium chloride

Fundamentals positive factors:

US dollar on Monday defensive, before the release of the US economic data less than expected, and the DPRK weekend missile test also supported the safe-haven currency yen. The announcement of the New York Fed May manufacturing index unexpectedly fell to negative, to the dollar long “a blow”, the dollar fell more aggravated. Weak dollar for oil prices has brought some support.

Saudi Arabia and Russia, the world’s top crude oil producer on Monday (May 15) issued a joint statement, said the extension of the production agreement extended to March 2018, to help solve the problem of excess supply, so that oil prices rise. “Crude oil inventories have started to fall, but we have not yet reached the target of falling to the 5 – year moving average, and we have agreed to extend the agreement on the cut – off agreement,” he said in a statement issued in Beijing.

OPEC latest monthly report, including Nigeria and Libya, including April OPEC crude oil production fell 1.8 million barrels / day to 31.73 million barrels / day. Although Saudi Arabia production has rebounded, but the country’s production rate is still greater than the commitment target. 11 OPEC member countries that needed to cut production were reduced to 29.674 million barrels per day in April, below the target of 29,804,000 barrels per day. However, OPEC raised its non-OPEC crude oil production estimate in 2017 to an increase of 95 million barrels per day, an increase of 37 million barrels from the previous month and a previous value of 58 million barrels per day. Sodium polyacrylate

Non-OPEC oil Turkistan and Equatorial Guinea also expressed willingness to cooperate with the cut, although the two countries of crude oil production is not great, but help OPEC to expand the scope of production plans. Algeria and Iraq have recently expressed support for the extension of the agreement. At the same time sources said the OPEC oil-producing countries, which are dominated by Gulf member states, are discussing plans to extend production for nine months, which will cover the first quarter of 2018, when crude oil demand will appear Seasonal weakness, so the impact of oil-producing countries will not be too large financial revenue. However, analysts pointed out that even if the cut agreement is extended, is expected to not expand the existing scale of production.

Russian Ministry of Energy issued a statement saying that the country has been on May 1 since last October production on the basis of production cut 30.079 million barrels / day, more than the previous commitment to cut production targets. At the same time in April Russian crude oil production fell slightly to 11 million barrels / day. At the same time, Russia’s energy minister Alexander Novak pointed out that after talks with senior domestic crude oil companies, Russia has begun to support the extension of the cut-off agreement. HEDP

Fundamentals negative factors:

US oil company Baker Hughes (Baker Hughes) on Friday (May 12) released data show that as of May 12 the week, the US oil active drilling increased by 9 to 712, recorded for 17 consecutive weeks at the same time Continued since April 2015 a new high. Last year, the number of active oil drilling in the United States was only 318. More data show that as of May 12 the week the total number of US oil and gas active drilling increased by 8 to 885.

Libya crude oil production last week has more than 80 million barrels / day, for the first time since 2014, if not because Wintershall AG oil field due to internal problems and production losses, the country’s crude oil production will be higher than the current. Libyan National Oil Company (NOC) said that due to the company and the Libyan Presidential Committee failed to Wintershall AG oil field production agreement, if the oil production to restore Libya crude oil production will be close to 100 million barrels / day.

US Energy Information Administration (EIA) latest data show that as of May 5 the week, the US domestic crude oil production increased 2.1 million barrels to 931.4 million barrels / day, for 12 consecutive weeks to increase and continue to maintain the 900 million barrels / day mark above. In addition, refinery capacity utilization decreased by 1.8 percentage points to 91.5%, the daily refining capacity decreased by 41.8 million barrels.
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