1、 Price trend
| ferric sulfate (Poly ferric sulphate) |
According to the data of the business club’s block list, the average ex factory price of powdered monoammonium was 2416.67 yuan / ton on February 23, and 2134.67 yuan / ton on February 17. After the festival, it rose by 13.21%, 15.01% on a month on month basis, and 25% on a year-on-year basis.
According to the data of the business club’s block list, on February 23, the average ex factory price of 64% diammonium was 2673.33 yuan / ton, and on February 17, the average ex factory price of 64% diammonium was 2490 yuan / ton, with a sharp rise of 7.36% after the festival and a flat month on month, up 21.51% year on year.
2、 Market analysis
After the festival, crude oil led the energy and chemical industry plate to advance rapidly, and the price of monoammonium phosphate rose with the trend. In the first week after the festival, the price of monoammonium phosphate increased slightly by about 3%, waiting for the market reaction. Entering this week, the rising trend continued and was strong. By the 23rd, it had risen by more than 13%, and there was no intention of a correction. This rise is mainly due to the rising prices of raw materials and the multiple positive blessings of the rising demand. The focus of the market has begun to move upward. Although some enterprises still suspend quotation, the rising atmosphere is high, the market is expected to be better, and the price is expected to continue to rise. Anhui Province 55% ammonium powder factory offer 2285 yuan / ton. The price of 55% ammonium powder in Hubei Province is 2250-2650 yuan / ton. The price of 55% ammonium powder in Henan Province is about 2400-2250 yuan / ton. The price of 55% ammonium powder in Sichuan is about 2400 yuan / ton. The price of 55% ammonium powder in Shandong Province is about 2300-2350 yuan / ton.
After the price of DAP was stable last week, it rose actively this week. At present, the price has increased by more than 7%, and the quotation has exceeded 3000 mark. At present, most enterprises still suspend quotation, but the high price is frequent, the export is still good, the supply is still tight, the enterprises have no pressure to ship, in addition, the spring ploughing is approaching, the raw materials are rising sharply, and there are multiple positive supports. The operators have a positive attitude and are optimistic about the future market. In Hubei Province, 64% of diammonium enterprises stop reporting, while in Shaanxi Province, 64% of diammonium mainstream ex factory quotation is 2950-3040 yuan / ton. The price of 64% diammonium in Yunnan is 3300-3430 yuan / ton. In Guizhou Province, the main price of 64% diammonium was 3300 yuan / ton, while in Heilongjiang Province, the price of 64% diammonium received in advance at the first station rose to about 3050 yuan / ton.
In terms of raw materials, on February 23, the domestic sulfur market rose broadly, with solid sulfur rising by 80-100 yuan / ton, and liquid sulfur in East China also rising by nearly 100 yuan / ton. At present, refineries in various regions of China are operating in low inventory, the supply of sulfur in the yard is tight, and the quotation of sulfur is rising. The export market of downstream phosphate fertilizer continues to improve. In addition, the domestic spring cultivation fertilizer is approaching, which is good for the sulfur market, and the sulfur market in the future will remain stable High level operation, pay attention to the downstream follow-up situation.
3、 Future forecast
According to the analysts of business news agency, the current market of ammonium phosphate is positive, the prices of raw materials are soaring, the cost side support is strong, and the demand side is improving with the coming of spring ploughing, the market prices of monoammonium phosphate and diammonium phosphate are rising. With spring ploughing approaching, it is expected that map will still rise in the short term under the mentality of buying up but not down. Diammonium phosphate is mainly for export, and the international price is still high, which will boost the domestic market. The main enterprise will send orders, and the shipment is not under pressure. It is expected that the price will still rise in the short term.
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