Decline of diammonium phosphate price slowed down

I. price trend

 

According to the data in the large scale list of business agencies, the average ex factory price of DAP on December 5 was 2250 yuan / ton, down 0.22% compared with December 1 (2255.00). The diammonium phosphate commodity index on December 5 was 67.11, unchanged from yesterday, a new low in the cycle, 34.83% lower than the highest point of 102.98 on October 8, 2011. (Note: cycle refers to 2011-09-01 to now)

 

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II. Market analysis

 

Product: due to the lack of demand follow-up, the market of diammonium phosphate storage in winter is depressed, the price keeps falling, and the recent decline slows down. The operating rate of enterprises is about 50%, and some enterprises are in the process of maintenance and parking. At present, 64% of mainstream diammonium in Hubei Province is priced at 2200-2450 yuan / ton, 64% of mainstream diammonium in Shandong Province is priced at 2200-2400 yuan / ton, 64% of mainstream diammonium in Yunnan Guizhou Province is priced at 2400-2500 yuan / ton, 64% of mainstream diammonium in Anhui Province is priced at 2250-2450 yuan / ton, and 64% of mainstream diammonium in Northwest China is priced at 2250-2400 yuan / ton.

 

Industrial chain: on December 5, the weak trend of raw sulfur. In Shandong Province, the mainstream price of solid sulfur is 620 yuan / ton; the mainstream price of liquid sulfur is 520-600 yuan / ton. In North China, the mainstream price of solid sulfur is 560 yuan / ton, and the mainstream price of liquid sulfur is 510-540 yuan / ton. In East China, the mainstream price of solid sulfur is about 520-660 yuan / ton, and the mainstream price of liquid sulfur is about 470-630 yuan / ton. The phosphorus ore market is weak and stable, the overall market is not changed much, the on-site trading remains light, and the transaction is average. The demand for downstream compound fertilizer has not improved, and enterprises are more cautious to wait and see, mainly taking goods as needed.

 

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Industry: according to the price monitoring of the business agency, in November 2019, there were 21 kinds of commodities in the rise and fall list of bulk commodity prices in the chemical industry sector, among which 8 kinds of commodities increased by more than 5%, accounting for 9.4% of the number of commodities monitored in the sector; the top three commodities were hydrochloric acid (67.31%), propanone (36.29%) and isopropanol (26.96%). There are 58 kinds of commodities decreased on a month on month basis, 18 kinds of commodities decreased by more than 5%, accounting for 21.2% of the number of commodities monitored in this sector; the top three products decreased were epichlorohydrin (- 31.74%), aniline (- 19.11%) and caustic soda (- 18.56%). The average rise and fall of this month was – 1.05%.

 

III. future forecast

 

Analysts of diammonium phosphate of business association think that the market of diammonium phosphate raw materials is poor, the cost support is weak, and the terminal demand is insufficient, which leads to the continuous weak operation of diammonium phosphate Market. It is now at the lowest level in the year, with supply beginning to shrink and limited space for decline. It is expected that the market of diammonium phosphate will be weak in the later period, and it is suggested to pay attention to the real-time market trends.

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