In April, the price of precious metals increased, and the upward space is expected to gradually narrow

Summary of spot price trend of precious metals

 

According to the data of business agency, on April 22, the average early price of silver market was 5077 yuan / kg, down 1.49%, up 1.43% from the average early price of 5005.33 yuan / kg in the spot market at the beginning of the month (April 1); Compared with the early trading average price of 4770 yuan / kg in the spot market at the beginning of the year (January 1), an increase of 6.44%.

 

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On April 22, the spot market price of gold was 401.62 yuan / g, up 0.90% daily, up 2.60% from the early average price of 394.96 yuan / g in the spot market at the beginning of the month (April 1); Compared with the spot market price at the beginning of the year (January 1), the early average price was 372.37 yuan / kg, an increase of 8.83%.

 

Comparison of price trends of precious metal gold and silver in recent 1 year

 

In the long-term cycle, the price trend of precious metals has a good convergence, the long-term trend is basically the same, and the amplitude is slightly different. The daily rise and fall of gold and silver deviated on April 22.

 

Price trend of precious metals and crude oil

 

List of policies

 

1. Domestic news

 

The Central Bank of China launched a 10 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation on the 24th. Because there was no reverse repurchase maturity today, it realized a net investment of 10 billion yuan on the same day. China’s seven-day repurchase interest rate rose 36 basis points to 1.9034%.

 

Gamma-PGA (gamma polyglutamic acid)

Yi Gang, governor of the central bank, said at the 2022 annual meeting of the Boao Forum for Asia on the 22nd that the people’s Bank of China handed over more than 1 trillion yuan of balance profits to the central government according to law, which is mainly used to offset tax rebates and transfer payments to local governments. The handover arrangement will move forward according to the progress of tax rebates and fiscal expenditure. The balance profit mainly comes from the profit accumulation of the people’s Bank of China in the past few years, which is equivalent to increasing the fiscal expenditure by 1% of the total GDP, reflecting the coordination and linkage of monetary policy and fiscal policy, and making joint efforts to stabilize the macro-economic market..

 

2. International news

 

The Central Bank of Paraguay raised interest rates by 50 basis points to 6.75%.

 

Future forecast

 

In the long run, the monetary easing policy is gradually ebbing, and the Fed’s expectation of raising interest rates is expected to suppress the price of precious metals. In the short term, the risk aversion of precious metals has gradually subsided, and the upward space of precious metal prices has been suppressed.

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