1、 Price trend
According to the data of the business club’s block list, on January 1, the average ex factory price of powdered monoammonium was 2116 yuan / ton, and on January 8, the average ex factory price of powdered monoammonium was 2083.33 yuan / ton, down by 1.58%.
According to the data of the business club’s block list, on January 1, the average ex factory price of 64% diammonium was 2440 yuan / ton, and on January 8, the average ex factory price of 64% diammonium was 2440 yuan / ton, which remained stable this week.
2、 Market analysis
The price of map declined slightly in the first week of January. The price of 55% ammonium powder in Anhui Province is 2050-2100 yuan / ton, and the start-up is stable. In Hubei Province, 55% of the factory price of ammonium powder is about 2000-2100 yuan / ton, and 58% of the factory price of ammonium powder is 2150-2200 yuan / ton. The market in Henan Province is stable and small. 55% ammonium powder is priced at about 2000 yuan per ton, and the start-up is stable. The price of 55% ammonium powder in Shandong Province is 2100-2150 yuan / ton, which is stable. The ex factory price of 55% ammonium powder in Sichuan is about 2000-2100 yuan / ton.
Diammonium phosphate remained stable in the first week of January. The main stream price of 64% diammonium in Hubei is 2400-2500 yuan / ton, and that of 64% diammonium in Gansu is 2450 yuan / ton. The price of 64% diammonium in Yunnan is 2650-2800 yuan / ton. The price of 64% diammonium in Guizhou is 2750 yuan / ton. The first arrival price of 64% diammonium in Heilongjiang Province is about 2550-2780 yuan / ton.
In January 2021, after the new year’s day, the market quotation of phosphate rock in Guizhou and other mainstream areas was increased by 10-20 yuan / ton, and the actual transaction price of the market was close to the high end. The price increase was mainly due to the support of demand. Near the Spring Festival, the downstream stock increased, the orders increased, and the mine shipment was improved compared with the previous period. At present, the domestic phosphate rock market is in gas supply With the improvement of the atmosphere, the timely follow-up of downstream demand, the increase of new single purchase volume, and the boost of the confidence of the phosphate rock industry, the phosphorus ore analysts of the business community believe that the phosphorus ore market will be mainly stable and strong in the short term.
3、 Future forecast
Analysts of ammonium phosphate of business news agency believe that the demand for downstream compound fertilizer is stable at present, but Duowei just needs to purchase, and the market trading enthusiasm is not high. Most monoammonium phosphate enterprises mainly supply early orders, and some enterprise prices fall slightly. Overall, the market is still relatively stable, and it is expected that the price of monoammonium phosphate may be weak and stable in the short term. The price of DAP is stable this week, and the supply of DAP is still tight. The industry has a strong wait-and-see mentality. However, the raw materials have risen recently, and the cost support is strong. It is expected that the trend of DAP will continue to be stable, and there is a rising expectation.