Yellow phosphorus market prices returned to high levels this week (9.1-9.7)

Price Trend

 

According to commodity data monitoring, the price of Yungui yellow phosphorus rose this week. The average price of yellow phosphorus on September 1 was 15933.33 yuan/ton, and on September 7 was 18600 yuan/ton. Within a week, the price rose by 16.74%.

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On September 7, the yellow phosphorus commodity index was 117.72, up 5.27 points from yesterday, down 27.06% from the cyclical peak of 161.39 points (2019-07-28), and up 30.83% from the lowest point of 89.98 on September 05, 2018. (Note: Period refers to 2011-09-01 to date)

II. Market Analysis

Products: Yellow phosphorus prices have returned to a high level this week, and the spot market of yellow phosphorus is very tight. At present, yellow phosphorus enterprises in Guizhou have stopped production in an all-round way, while some enterprises in Yunnan and Sichuan have stopped quoting, and the contract is the main one. Yellow phosphorus Market Spot tension, strong wait-and-see sentiment of enterprises, the focus continued to move upwards. At present, the mainstream quotation of yellow phosphorus in Yunnan is 18,000-20,000 yuan/ton. The mainstream quotation in Sichuan is about 17800 yuan/ton.

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Industry Chain: This week, the phosphate ore market continued to be weak and stable, and intra-site transactions remained light and normal. This week, coke prices were stable, and the mainstream price of Panzhihua coke (secondary metallurgical coke) market was 2,080 yuan per ton. The price of phosphoric acid in the downstream market rose as a whole this week. The peak season of downstream pesticide enterprises is coming.

The index of yellow phosphorus industry chain on September 7 was 104.27, up 1.78 points from yesterday, down 16.09% from 124.27 points in the cycle (2019-07-24) and 30.84% from 79.69 points on October 7, 2018. (Note: Period refers to 2011-12-01 to date)

3. Future Market Forecast

Yellow phosphorus analysts from the business and chemical branch believe that the yellow phosphorus market is short of cash, the start-up rate is low everywhere, downstream demand is on the upward trend, the market is well supported, and the price is expected to remain narrow and upward in the short term.

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